There's a lot of probability in my work and a lot of potential biases. There's very little in work or in life that's 100% certain. In other words, there isn't usually an exactly right or exactly wrong decision. There's a bias about projections. Trying to reconcile what our future self would want with what we want now. Think grocery shopping while hungry. Not a great idea:P
There is a compounding effect. It's easy to be way off about our future self when we think several decisions ahead. Backcasting takes a different approach. It's kind of the opposite of forecasting. It's starting with the goal and working backwards to get there.
Taher, think about you're goal and then act. There may not be a 100% right decision, but there's definitely a better one.